by Armstrong Williams
Is America in a recession? It’s an unpopular question to ask, but it has now been over 3 months since COVID-19 restrictions were initiated and it is time for us to get realistic about where we are economically so that we can take the proper steps to minimize further damage to our economy. At this point, the unfortunate reality is that regardless of what we do, it is likely that it will take at least several years to see a partial recovery of economic loss and the time that it will take for a complete recovery remains unknown at this point.
According to calculations by Johns Hopkins University, the U.S. now has over 2-million confirmed cases of COVID-19 . As the numbers continue to rise, which they will, more Americans will become hesitant about going out and returning to some level of normalcy. This grim reality means further damages to an already struggling U.S. economy that has, by all accounts, come to a complete standstill. Roughly 44-million people have filed initial unemployment benefits since mid-March and despite the recent information showcasing that the numbers have gone down, it has since been revealed that the recent Department of Labor numbers were in error, putting into question the real unemployment rate.
As individual states move to phase 1 and some in cases phase 2 or 3 of re-opening, I can’t help but wonder how many people are willing to and feel comfortable about going out. How many people are willing to put themselves and their families at risk? Can we blame people for saying that they’re not willing to go out or to go to work knowing that there are still so many unknowns regarding COVID-19. With the absence of a vaccination or any remedies to help combat the virus and the possibility for its resurgence this fall, we’re potentially in dangerous and uncharted territory.
Many of the small businesses impacted by COVID-19 will take years to recover and unfortunately many of them will be forced to close down if they haven’t done so already. This will decimate many communities across the country that rely on those businesses that are staples within their communities. Unfortunately, many of them will become casualties of our current environment, however, there are some adjustments that we can implement to help stop the bleeding.
Businesses need consumerism to stay afloat and we must become creative. So, this brings me back to my original point of focusing on sustaining our economy as we battle these unknown variables as a result of COVID-19. If we don’t, the United States could very well find itself headed towards another depression.
One possible way to avoid another depression is to begin the process of restructuring our idea of “work”. We’re already in a gig-economy that principally focuses on short-term contracts and/or freelance work. Under this “new normal” we need to not only encourage work from home, we need to create incentives for companies large and small to come up with creative ways to meet their bottom line, provide their services and be successful, but again, this must take place from home. Many tech companies in Silicon Valley encourage their workers to have creative work hours, which includes having the ability to work from home. We can take their model and expand it.
This is a great opportunity to push American ingenuity to the next level. This next phase could encourage and birth new companies and create new millionaires and potentially billionaires. What has always separated the United States from the rest of the world has been our ability to become creative and innovative by meeting the demands of the time and this is such a time.
By creating incentives for businesses large and small through tax credits and other means, we would increase productivity and as we have seen with companies such as Amazon, Uber, and Lyft who have advanced ways of moving products from businesses to consumers in ways that keep people safe during the COVID-19 crisis.
Right now, our biggest hurdle as a country is whether or not we can readjust ourselves and our habits to the moment we’re in. I believe we can because we have the tools to do so and we can do it in a way that uplifts all Americans regardless of race or creed. We can do it in a way that helps us begin to recover our economic losses through growth, imagination, and ingenuity because that is the American way.
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Armstrong Williams is the Manager / Sole Owner of Howard Stirk Holdings I & II Broadcast Television Stations, and was named the 2016 Multicultural Media Broadcast Owner of the year. Follow Armstrong on Twitter at @arightside.
Photo “Armstrong Williams” by Armstrong Williams.