Nashville Physician’s Analysis of Excess Deaths in the U.S. and Tennessee: Not Due to COVID-19


MURFREESBORO, Tennessee – Dr. Damon Petty, a Nashville-area physician, presented to the Conservative Caucus Saturday his analysis of data related to the excess in deaths and found they are not due to COVID-19.

An economics-degreed Harvard graduate who then went on to medical school, Dr. Petty’s goal was to analyze the data in order to make his presentation reflect the University’s veritas – or truth – shield.  The motto of the University, “Veritas Christo et Ecclesiae,” translated from Latin meaning “Truth for Christ and the Church,” was adopted in 1692.

Petty presented the number of worldwide deaths by COVID-19 as well as several other viruses and other causes of death in a bar graph.

The numbers were so disparate that it made it a challenge to make any comparisons, particularly against the 1918 Spanish Flu.  So, the team physician scaled the world death numbers by a factor of 10, offering a better perspective that the number of COVID-19 deaths is less than the average flu and close to that of suicide and the 2009 swine flu.

In looking at deaths in the U.S., Dr. Petty’s analysis revealed that those from COVID-19 are still far less than the 1918 Spanish flu or cancer and even less than accidents and strokes.

Comparing the average count of deaths in the U.S. by week and age group over the five-year period of 2015 to 2019, Petty found a very repeatable pattern resembling a smile for deaths in people aged 45 and older.

In 2020, Petty’s analysis shows a spike in excess deaths is visible in all but the youngest age group of under 25 years between the 10- and 20-week mark which is between March 1 and May 16.  The spike increased more dramatically over the other five age groups, with the most severe spike being in the 85 years and older population.

When looking at the excess deaths by cause, Petty found an uptick in respiratory disease-related deaths.  But, the spike is not nearly as significant as that for deaths related to circulatory diseases or Alzheimer’s disease and dementia.

Drilling into more specifics related to deaths due to respiratory diseases, he demonstrated that in the worst week, the spike for influenza and pneumonia amounted to excess deaths of about 600.

Meanwhile,  Petty’s further examination of the circulatory disease-related causes of death showed that hypertensive diseases accounted for 1,100 excess deaths and ischemic heart disease accounted for 2,000 excess deaths in their respective worst week.

Other causes that contributed to excess deaths in the U.S. included diabetes with 700 and Alzheimer’s disease and dementia with 1,900 in the worst weeks.

Presented in another way, Petty displayed the total number of deaths in the U.S. above the average since February 1, 2020 by the cause of death.  Influenza and pneumonia, the category in which COVID-19 falls, ranks sixth.

Alzheimer’s disease and dementia – 16,913

Hypertensive diseases – 9,303

Ischemic heart disease – 6,249

Diabetes – 5,510

Cerebrovascular disease – 4,080

Influenza and pneumonia – 2,878

Heart failure – 2,352

Malignant neoplasms – 2,149

Other diseases of the respiratory system – 1,472

Chronic lower respiratory disease – 571

Renal failure – 542

Other diseases of the circulatory system – 339

Sepsis – 297

In Tennessee, the number of deaths above the average since February 1 is much less dramatic with influenza and pneumonia falling to 10th.

Alzheimer’s disease and dementia – 464

Hypertensive diseases – 417

Diabetes – 217

Malignant neoplasms – 180

Ischemic heart disease – 110

Chronic lower respiratory disease – 103

Cardiovascular diseases – 71

Other diseases of the respiratory system – 60

Heart failure – 58

Influenza and pneumonia – 35

Other diseases of the circulatory system – 30

Renal failure – 19

Sepsis – 8

Meanwhile, Petty reports, the census in Tennessee hospitals was at 10 percent.

As another point of comparison, he reviewed motor vehicle accident deaths per one million population against COVID-19.

For 20 states, including Tennessee, a person is less likely to die from COVID-19 than they are in a motor vehicle accident.

In fact, the doctor’s data indicates that Tennesseans are at least 60 percent more likely to die in a motor vehicle accident than from COVID-19, and yet there have been no restrictions on motor vehicle travel.

– – –

Laura Baigert is a senior reporter at The Tennessee Star.





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15 Thoughts to “Nashville Physician’s Analysis of Excess Deaths in the U.S. and Tennessee: Not Due to COVID-19”

  1. Jay

    Even Bill Lee has no interest. Front line physicians have solid proof that early intervention with hydroxy prevents hospitalization and deaths but still it is restricted. Keep politics out of health care.

  2. Jim

    The CDC says that on average 430,000 people will die each year from cigarette smoking. 43,000 (10%) due to 2nd hand smoke. And this doesn’t even touch the lost work time, higher medical expenses, etc.

    I’m not advocating for a ban on cigarettes, people can chose for themselves, but if the Government were truly only concerned about health, why haven’t they “banned” them?

    1. Ron Welch

      I have seen stats that as many as 120,000 people die from medical mistakes every year. And I’m not advocating that we “defund” or ban any part of our medical care system. All the numbers should be put in perspective and ” we the people” should take charge of our freedom to manage the risks as we do in many other situations in life.

  3. rick

    I agree Ragtop, 100% !

  4. Brian Ehni

    Wish the charts were clickable to see them better!

    1. Ona Lewallen

      You can copy them then click and enlarge

  5. 83ragtop50

    Don’t confuse me with facts says Dr. Fauci.

    The political climate dictates that the deplorables be shamed and beat into submission with scare tactics. COVOD is being used as a weapon against us. A weapon is something used to control a person.

    The governor and local “leaders” are covering their rears instead of debunking the rigged numbers. Life is full of risks but I want to control my life and not have a political hack tell me what to do. When are real Americans going to revolt?

  6. Wolf Woman

    John Cooper is a progressive genius.

    He’s maneuvered the Council into passing a huge property tax hike that the people of Nashville didn’t want; he’s led the way for BLM Marxists to vandalize the Metro Courthouse and loot downtown; he’s let the BLM protests continue to march down Broadway, disrupting the tourism (as well as close the bars and nightclubs down there) and taken the city backwards into mask “theater” instead of forwards to herd immunity and economic revitalization.

    Has he been taking notes from Lori Lightfoot and Bill De Blasio? Or is he just following the leftist playbook?

    1. Ned T.

      John Cooper is a dangerous full-blown leftist who is conspiring with the highest levels of the democratic party. He and his brother are trying to take down the Governor, Bill Lee.

      Do not underestimate how dangerous John Cooper is.

  7. John

    Uh oh…Dr Petty isn’t towing the political line. Next, the NFL and others are going to be calling for his resignation.

  8. David S. Blackwell RN, BSN

    Yep. Tyranny; Medical Tyranny at that. Many of us in Healthcare are suffering from moral injury as we watch politicians and bureaucrats try to dictate (as in dictatorship) life as we know it. The economic repercussions will echo throughout our communities in time, causing anxiety, stress, bankruptcy, drug and alcohol abuse, heart disease, violence, crime, suicide, etc. Fascinatingly, none of the fast food restaurants were closed. If our leaders were truly concerned about our health and well-being, health, first aid, and physical education would be taught vigorously each year in our public schools: Public library’s throughout the State would have public gymnasiums and public pools next to them. We would also have, in congregated areas, public fountains, showers, and sinks to wash our hands and face.

    1. Ron Welch

      “If our leaders were truly concerned about our health and well-being, health, first aid, and physical education would be taught vigorously each year in our public schools:” –David S. Blackwell
      Yes! And just as they constantly advise standard precautions, they would be advising us to strengthen our immune systems with healthy diets, exercise in fresh air and sunshine and certain supplementation like Vitamin C, Vitamin D, magnesium and zinc, a known anti-viral mineral. But they NEVER mention that! Now why is that? As you wrote, they are not concerned about our health, but prefer to use the situation to exercise authoritarian measures. It is imperative that we act like a free and self-governing people and take charge of our own health and exercise our Liberty to control over our own bodies for our health and well being.

      “Unless we put medical freedom into the Constitution, the time will come
      when medicine will organize into an undercover dictatorship to restrict the art of healing to one class of Men and deny equal privileges to
      others; the Constitution of the Republic should make a Special privilege for medical freedoms as well as religious freedom.” –Dr. Benjamin Rush, Signer of the Declaration of Independence

      1. David S. Blackwell RN, BSN

        Oh, all of this is Rockefeller Medicine 101. Do some reading on that, the Federal Reserve, our debt, and the whole system, the UN, WHO, CDC. It’s rigged from top to bottom. Now it is becoming tyrannical. No more ‘ask your doctor which pill is right for you,’ it will be be ‘take this pill or be jailed.’ 22 years of bedside nursing, I can honestly say that you can get more out of a personal trainer and nutritionist than you ever could from a Medical Doctor.

  9. rick

    This hoax needs to end! Drag Coward Cooper out of the courthouse! SIGN THE RECALL TODAY, RECALL COOPER!

    1. Ed

      Exactly what it is…They have left their symbolism all over this..However, most do not see it, and others..Well, they refuse to see it or believe it when you show them how to spot their lies..Furthermore, if people would wake up and realize that symbology is used by these parasites, they would see the truth or lies as these false flags begin..However, they’re too afraid they might be made fun of by Marxist CNN and affiliates..or, Marxist late night t.v so-called comedians..So instead, they choose to stand by and watch their country fall.
      I do not understand how so many cannot see whats happening right in front of their faces..I mean, we are in a sad state when people truly believe Biden is firing on all cylinders, and I am not even being sarcastic…CNN, shows him riding a bicycle for 30 seconds..and, somehow in their warped reality, this proves he is fit to run the U.S..or, any country for that matter…I truly believe that something is happening..or, has happened to
      the minds of a large portion of the human race..However, our children are under attack from the day they start watching tele a vision..and, school..Furthermore, you take that constant bombardment of Marxism..and, combine it with children who are constantly spoiled at home..and, told how special they are instead of how we all accelerate in different areas, we end up were we are today.
      Just my thoughts.