Analysis: Black People Do Not Suffer Disproportionately from Police Brutality

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By James D. Agresti

 

A recent New York Times article by Jeremy W. Peters claims it is a “fact” “that black people suffer disproportionately from police brutality.” He also asserts that President Trump’s rejection of this accusation is “racially inflammatory” and “racially divisive.” To the contrary, comprehensive facts show that this allegation against police is false. Furthermore, this deception has stoked racial divides and driven people to despise and even murder police officers.

In an interview with CBS News that is slated to air in full tonight, reporter Catherine Herridge asked Trump, “Why are African-Americans still dying at the hands of law enforcement in this country?” He responded that this is a “terrible question” and that “more white people” are killed by police than black people.

CBS News, the New York Times, and many other media outlets are criticizing Trump’s response because blacks are a much smaller portion of the U.S. population than whites. Thus, the odds of being killed by police are higher for each black person than each white person. This frequent argument is highly misleading because it omits facts that are vital to this issue. As detailed in a 2018 paper in the journal Social Psychological and Personality Science:

  • “The most common means of testing for racial disparity in police use of deadly force is to compare the odds of being fatally shot for blacks to the odds of being fatally shot for whites.”
  • That logic is flawed because it relies upon the false assumption that white and black people commit life-threatening crimes at the same rates.
  • The rational way to analyze this issue is to compare the odds of being fatally shot to each race’s “involvement in those situations where the police may be more likely to use deadly force.”
  • Based on four different national datasets on “murder/nonnegligent manslaughter, violent crime, and weapons violations,” “in nearly every case, whites were either more likely to be fatally shot by police or police showed no significant disparity in either direction.”

The facts about murder and police killings underscore this reality. Black people represent about 13% of the U.S. population, at least 53% of murder offenders, and roughly 33% of people killed by police.

The Supreme Court’s 1895 ruling in Tennessee v. Garner  forbids police from using lethal force except in situations where there is a genuine risk of “death or serious physical injury.” In 2015, the Washington Post found that over the prior decade an average of about five police officers per year were indicted for violating this standard, and only one per year was convicted.

Likewise, a study conducted by the left-leaning Center for Policing Equity reveals that police are 42% less likely to use lethal force when arresting black people than when arresting whites. Yet, the authors of this study buried that data on the 19th page of a 29-page report and wrote an overview that gives the opposing impression.

Taken together, the facts above disprove the claim that “black people suffer disproportionately from police brutality.” Yet, media outlets routinely ignore these facts or report them in isolation so that their implications are obscured. Meanwhile, they widely spread the counterfactual message that has inspired racial strife, hatred of the police, and slayings of officers. For example:

  • Before Ismaaiyl Brinsley murdered New York City policemen Rafael Ramos and Wenjian Liu in 2014, he posted on Instagram: “I’m Putting Wings On Pigs Today. They Take 1 Of Ours….. Let’s Take 2 of Theirs #ShootThePolice, #RIPErivGardner and #RIPMikeBrown. This may be my final post.”
  • During a 2016 Black Lives Matter protest in Dallas, TX in which the crowd chanted “Hands up, don’t shoot,” Micah Johnson killed five police officers. During standoff negotiations, he said he wanted to kill white people, especially white officers. All of the policemen he murdered were white.
  • Ten days later, Gavin Eugene Long shot six Baton Rouge, Louisiana police officers, killing three of them. His suicide note stated: “I must bring the same destruction that bad cops continue to inflict upon my people,” meaning people of color.

Beyond this, the Times and other media outlets that propagate those racially provocative falsehoods are accusing people who challenge them of stirring racial hostilities.

There are more than 800,000 sworn law enforcement officers in the U.S., and they commit roughly one murder per year. This amounts to an annual murder rate of 0.13 per 100,000—or about 38 times lower than the general U.S. murder rate of 5.0 per 100,000. Police are vetted for criminality, and thus, they should be much less likely to commit murder than the average person. However, police are also faced with life-threatening situations more often than the general public, and this opens doors for violent tendencies to emerge.

Regardless, it is irrational to accuse police or any other group of people of brutality or systemic racism based on the actions of an infinitesimal portion of them. Yet, the media and activists repeatedly do this, even though it is a hallmark tactic of racists and demagogues.

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James D. Agresti is the president of Just Facts, a think tank dedicated to publishing rigorously documented facts about public policy issues.
Photo “Back the Blue Supporter” by David Geitgey Sierralupe. CC BY 2.0.

 

 

 

 

 

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5 Thoughts to “Analysis: Black People Do Not Suffer Disproportionately from Police Brutality”

  1. David

    Reverend Amy, your stats are correct but should we find them alarming?
    All the data we have suggests police are no more likely to shoot a black person in an encounter than a white person.
    The cause of the discrepancy you mention is simply that blacks encounter police three times as often as whites do, and this in turn is, in all likelihood, due to the indisputable fact that black neighborhoods experience roughly 7 times the violent crime that white neighborhoods do.

  2. It is deeply disturbing that you just zoom past the brutal facts: a black person is far, far more likely to be killed by the police than a white person. Almost 100 in 100,000 black people will meet their end that way. With white people, the number is under 40.

    1. Dave

      “Reverend” Morgenstern, who is committing the majority of violent crimes, hmm? People like you are part of the problem in this country, preaching divisive lies & propaganda from your pulpit. And just what have you done lately to help address the real danger to young black lives: black on black murder? Look up the stats, they don’t lie but you sure do & you should be ashamed of yourself.

  3. Kerry

    I don’t believe it is either but rather the system as a whole. The laws are absolutely rediculous and there are much too many of them, and there are more always being made. We incarcerate far too many people in this country and many of them are innocent. The police need to be policed. I also think that the whole court system needs to be redesigned. You should not enter the court and face a judge and a prosecuting attorney. I mean that is just wrong in any aspect of critical thinking. The Justus system is just not just. I think that the government works for us and has not been working for us for a long time. We have become two separate entities and that is where the problem lies. We the people is a convenient word to refer to the government on legal toilet paper. It has actually nothing to do with the government it should be refreshed to say “We the Government” because they have just become a separate entity.

  4. John

    It doesn’t matter what color your skin is. A bad cop is going to abuse his/her authority no matter what. I’m white and have been a victim myself. The cops protect themselves with the blue wall of silence. They have the judges on their side in court. Failure to police themselves is what’s led to so much backlash against them. I am most certainly not against dismantling police forces across the nation because they are very much needed. But the blue wall of silence needs to cease to exist and cops need to be held accountable for their actions. But I think it’s too late. The Marxist and fascist have hijacked the narrative. RIP

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