Trump Leading on Election Night in Arizona, Kari Lake Lagging Behind Ruben Gallego in First 10 Percent of Results

Donald Trump

The results from Arizona’s election began trickling in Tuesday at 8 p.m., and within a couple of hours it became clear Trump was leading by a few thousand votes, with his lead steadily increasing to 9,316 votes. Kari Lake lagged behind Ruben Gallego in the U.S. Senate race by a little over 100,000 votes. However, the preliminary results were based on early ballots, and ABC-15’s “Data Guru” Garrett Archer acknowledged on X that Election Day ballots had not been counted yet, but when they did they would favor Republicans. 

By late evening, 10 percent of precincts across the state had reported their numbers. Archer observed that independents surged in Election Day voting. While they trailed Republicans in early voting, by late afternoon 83,000 independents had voted on Tuesday, compared to 79,100 Republicans and 43,800 Democrats.

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Donald Trump Projected Winner of 2024 Presidential Election

Donald Trump. GOP Convention

Former President Donald Trump will be the 47th President of the United States after being projected to win 270 votes in the Electoral College DecisionDesk HQ just after midnight on November 6, making him the President-elect of the United States. He will serve alongside Senator JD Vance, who was elected to serve as vice president. 

At the time the race was called by DecisionDesk, Trump was additionally expected to win the popular vote against Vice President Kamala Harris, representing the first time a Republican presidential candidate won the popular vote since 2004.

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Court Forces Secretary of State Adrian Fontes to Turn Over Voter Registration Information on 218,000 Voters Lacking Proof of Citizenship

AZ Sec State Adrian Fontes

Secretary of State Adrian Fontes was ordered on Thursday to turn over by Monday the voter registration information on 218,000 voters in Arizona who are registered to vote but who failed to provide proof of citizenship. He appealed the decision immediately afterwards, with two organizations submitting amicus curiae briefs supporting him, but the Arizona Court of Appeals issued an order Monday morning affirming the lower court’s decision to require the list in response to a public records request from America First Legal (AFL). 

James Rogers, America First Legal Senior Counsel, said in a statement regarding the case, “When Secretary Fontes discovered the glitch that allowed 218,000 individuals to register without providing proof of citizenship, he should have immediately shared the list of affected individuals with Arizona’s county recorders, who are in charge of verifying the citizenship of voters. Instead, he has jealously guarded the list, refusing to share it with anyone.”

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Philadelphia D.A. Larry Krasner Threatens ‘Jail Cell’ over ‘Bad Faith’ Election Challenges amid Musk Lawsuit Resolution

Krasner and Musk

Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner condemned election “bullying” and intimidation during a Monday press conference, when he revealed his office is concerned about poll watchers bringing “bogus challenges” against voters.

The district attorney repeatedly warned would-be violators of election laws to, “F around and find out,” especially those who seek to “play militia,” insult or “mistreat” election workers and voters, or “threaten people,” “bully votes,” or to “erase votes.”

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Pennsylvania County Gives Update on Probe of Suspicious Applications, Says 17 Percent Are Fraudulent

Ballot Counts

Lancaster County Commissioner Ray D’Agostino on Monday updated voters on an investigation into 2,500 suspicious voter registration forms that were flagged to the county’s elections board last month, confirming that 17% of the forms so far are fraudulent.

A total of four Pennsylvania counties are investigating possible fraudulent voter and mail-in ballot applications in the final spin into Election Day. Those counties are Cambria County, Lancaster County, Monroe County, and York County. York and Lancaster both uncovered thousands of potentially fraudulent applications, while Cambria and Monroe saw less than 50 each. 

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These Two Battleground Counties May Choose Our Next President

Michigan voters

In battleground Michigan, two swing counties may determine which presidential candidate will clinch the state’s 15 Electoral College votes.

Oakland and Kent counties have undergone major demographic changes over the past two decades. Both used to be Republican strongholds, but growth in the Detroit suburbs and the city of Grand Rapids turned the counties from red to blue in 2020.

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Arizona Early Voting Declines: Republicans Gain, Democrats Lag Behind

Arizona Ballot

Arizona has seen a decline in early voting compared to recent years, with only 51.7% of registered voters voting early – about 300,000 less voters than in the 2020 general election, according to data compiled by Uplift from Arizona county recorder offices.

Most notable is the drop in registered Democrats voting early. In 2020, 36.5% of early voters were Democrats.

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Trump Leads Harris, McCormick Ties Casey in Pollster’s Final Pennsylvania Survey Before Election Day

PA Close Races

Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in the final poll of Pennsylvania voters published by Emerson College Polling prior to Election Day, while the pollsters found the race between Republican U.S. Senate candidate Dave McCormick and Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) is now tied.

Published on Monday, the poll found Trump narrowly leading Harris with the support of 49.3 percent of Pennsylvania voters, with the vice president trailing with the support of 48.4 percent of the commonwealth’s voters.

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Ruben Gallego Raising Money for Senate Race Against Kari Lake from Far-Left Sources, Questionable ‘Smurfing’ Donors

Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego has been able to outraise Kari Lake by about three to one, but some are questioning the sources. In addition to large amounts of money from out-of-state donors, a significant amount of his contributions come from “Smurfing,” donations from elderly unemployed Democrats who are unaware their names are being used to donate to Democratic candidates.

According to Arizona Capitol Media, Lake has raised over $19 million throughout the race, while Gallego has raised almost $54 million. Gallego currently has $7.2 million on hand, while Lake has $4.5 million in the bank.

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Trump Says He Can Expand Swing State Victories to Virginia, New Mexico, and New Jersey

Donald Trump

Former President Donald Trump claimed on Sunday that he can win more than the seven expected swing states, offering Virginia, New Mexico, and New Jersey as states that may offer possible victories on Election Day despite his campaign’s relative lack of resources spent there.

Trump on Sunday predicted the possible victories after to NBC News reporter Dasha Burns raised an outlier poll of Iowa voters that found Vice President Kamala Harris winning the state.

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Majority of Pennsylvania’s Mail-in Ballots Returned

Voting

The majority of mail-in ballots requested in Pennsylvania have been returned as of 8 a.m. Monday.

Of the 2.2 million issued, the Department of State is in receipt of 1.8 million, or 81.4%, according to its daily report. By party, Democrats have mailed in 83.1% of the 1.2 million requested; Republicans 82.1% out of 715,287; and unaffiliated or other third parties at 72.7% out of 282,162.

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Pennsylvania Becomes ‘Ground Zero’ for Presidential Election Winner amid Election Integrity Chaos

Trump Supporters

Pennsylvania has become “ground zero” for whoever will become the presidential election winner and election integrity chaos, as both nominees hyperfocus on the commonwealth. Unsurprisingly, lawsuits abound.

As former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris zoom in on Pennsylvania with Election Day just a day away, both political parties are also entrenched in lawfare regarding election procedures regarding mail-in ballots.

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Progressive Knight Foundation Holds Election Law Seminar for Journalists on Dismissing Election Fraud Concerns as ‘Myths’

Heather Gerkin, Bob Bauer, Ben Ginsberg

The progressive Knight Foundation held a seminar for journalists on Wednesday going over election law in preparation for the upcoming election. It was one of several virtual conferences the organization has held recently, focusing this time on “debunking common election law myths.” 

Speakers included Bob Bauer, who served as general counsel to the Democratic National Committee and in various positions for Barack Obama, and David Becker of The Center for Election Innovation & Research, who co-authored a book with journalist Major Garrett titled The Big Truth, arguing that the 2020 election was the most secure in American history.

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Tennessee U.S. Rep Steve Cohen Predicts ‘Chaos,’ ‘Blood’ If Trump Loses, Reveals Democrats Plan to Install Fences in D.C.

Steve Cohen

U.S. House Representative Steve Cohen (D-TN-09) predicted “blood” and “chaos” will follow should former President Donald Trump be declared to have lost the presidential election but dispute the election results, and revealed House Democrats already have plans to install security fences in Washington, D.C. before the next president is inaugurated.

Cohen made the remarks during an appearance on NewsNation in remarks to host Dan Abrams on Monday, after predicting Vice President Kamala Harris will win both the popular and Electoral College votes on November 5.

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Pennsylvania Attorney General Claims Fraudulent Voter Registration Schemes Discovered, ‘Defeated’ in Four Counties

Michele Henry

Pennsylvania Attorney General Michelle Henry on Thursday confirmed at least four counties in the commonwealth had “defeated” fraudulent voter registration schemes after multiple counties went public with their findings.

The attorney general, a Democrat who was nominated to the position by Governor Josh Shapiro after his election in 2022, confirmed “[a]pparent attempts to submit fraudulent voter registration forms in Berks, Lancaster, Monroe, and York Counties,” in a press release posted to her office’s website.

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Michigan Is a Road to the White House, Rep. Huizenga Says

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Rep. Bill Huizenga, R-Mich., said he has seen a political shift in the swing state of Michigan.

“It’s interesting to see how Michigan has just grown in importance, and as a crossroads,” Huizenga told The Daily Signal, “quite literally the road to the White House, the road to the Senate [Republican] majority, and the road to our own majority in the House of Representatives, I think runs right through Michigan.”

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Polls Show Sherrod Brown Has Slight Lead in Ohio Senate Race

Sherrod Brown and Bernie Moreno

Democratic Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown holds a slim lead while outspending his Republican opponent, Bernie Moreno, nearly four-to-one in one of the most expensive Senate races this cycle.

Ohio’s Senate race is currently the most expensive in the country, totaling $425,802,726 including outside spending, according to OpenSecrets data. Brown is currently leading by 1 percentage point at 47.4% to Moreno’s 46.4%, according to polling averages by RealClear Polling.

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Poll Shows Trump, Scott Leading in Florida

Rick Scott and Donald Trump

A poll released by Florida Atlantic University shows former President Donald Trump with a big lead in the presidential race and also has good news for incumbent U.S. Sen. Rick Scott.

The poll of 913 registered voters by the Florida Atlantic University Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab and Mainstreet Research USA shows Trump with 53%, with 44% going for Vice President Kamala Harris and only 2% undecided.

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Final Totals: Tennessee’s 2024 Early Voter Turnout Less than 2020

Data published by the Tennessee Secretary of State’s Office shows that total voter turnout during the 14-day period of early voting in Tennessee for the November 5 general election was lower than the turnout for early voting in the 2020 general election.

According to the data, 2,280,767 ballots—2,070,339 of which were early-in-person ballots and 210,428 absentee ballots—were recorded during the fourteen days of early voting in 2020.

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McCormick Raises Friendship Between Casey, Biden as Pennsylvania Democrat Creates Distance from President’s ‘Garbage’ Insult

Senator Bob Casey with President joe Biden

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Dave McCormick released an advertisement highlighting the friendship between Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) and President Joe Biden after the president referred to supporters of former President Donald Trump as “garbage” in comments the White House later claimed referred to a comedian.

“According to Bob Casey, his ‘close friend’ Joe Biden is the picture of integrity,” wrote McCormick in a post to the social media platform X. “He just called half our nation ‘garbage.'”

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Arizona U.S. Senate Race Statistically Tied as Dueling Polls Show Lake and Gallego Leading

Ruben Gallego, Kari Lake

The Arizona race for U.S. Senate between Kari Lake and Representative Ruben Gallego (D-AZ-03) is statistically tied, according to dueling polls that each show the Republican or Democrat leading by less than 1 percent in the race to fill the seat being vacated by Senator Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ).

First, a survey released by Data Orbital on Tuesday found Lake with the support of 45.2 percent of likely voters, leading Gallego by 0.7 percent, with the Democrat at 44.5 percent. The pollsters found an additional 5.8 percent were undecided, while 1.6 percent plan to vote for Green Party candidate Eduardo Quintana.

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Ruben Gallego Sends Panicky Text Message After New Poll Shows Kari Lake Leading Him in U.S. Senate Race

Ruben Gallego, Kari Lake with Rich Grenell

Ruben Gallego sent a panicky text message to supporters this week, after a new poll showed Kari Lake pulling ahead in the U.S. Senate race just days before the election. A survey released on Tuesday from Data Orbital showed Lake ahead by about a point, 45.2 percent to 44.5 percent. Data Orbital is ranked the eighth highest accurate pollster out of hundreds of polling companies by the polling aggregator site 538.

AtlasIntel, which is ranked 22nd for accuracy by 538 and considered very reputable by the left-leaning site MediaBias/FactCheck, released a poll about the same time which showed Gallego just one point ahead of Lake. However, that survey was heavily weighted with women responding, who trend more Democratic than men, surveying about 53 percent women to 46 percent men. It also failed to survey Democrats and Republicans relative to their numbers in the state; oversampling Democrats. 

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Tennessee Immigrant Group, Davidson Democrats Among Those Aiding Nashville Transit Referendum

Green Lights for Nashville commercial

Both the Tennessee Immigrant and Refugee Resettlement Coalition (TIRRC) Votes PAC and the Davidson County Democratic Party are among the groups that have provided in-kind contributions to the political action committee formed to support the Nashville transit referendum that will be decided by voters next week, the group revealed in a report filed Tuesday, when the Green Lights for Nashville PAC filed an amended financial disclosure statement with the State of Tennessee.

The report revealed the pro-referendum group received nearly $1.3 million in contributions, mostly from the Nashville Moves Action Fund, which is reportedly a 501 (c) (4) nonprofit that does not need to reveal its donors, but has nonetheless been ordered to register with Tennessee and disclose them by Election Day. 

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Wisconsin DMV Provides Free State ID Cards for Voting Purposes

People Voting

 U.S. citizens residing in Wisconsin who do not already have an approved photo ID or the necessary identification documents to obtain one can still apply for a temporary identification card for voting purposes, free of charge.

The Wisconsin Department of Transportation requests all Wisconsinites applying for the temporary free ID used for voting – this is not a Wisconsin Voter ID, which does not exist – bring proof of name and date of birth, proof of identity, proof of state residency and proof of U.S. citizenship.

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Virginia A.G. Jason Miyares Still ‘Deeply Concerned’ by Biden-Harris Push for Noncitizen Voters After Supreme Court Victory

Jason Miyares

While the U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday affirmed the right of Virginia to remove noncitizens from its voter rolls, Attorney General Jason Miyares said on Wednesday he remains “deeply concerned and alarmed” by the legal action taken against Virginia by the Biden-Harris Department of Justice (DOJ) prior to the high court’s intervention.

The Biden-Harris administration sued Virginia earlier in October, claiming they violated the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) by removing about 1,600 noncitzens from the commonwealth’s voter rolls within 90 days of an election.

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Tom Pappert: Steve Bannon Offering ‘Sober Take’ on Election After Serving Four-Month Prison Term

Tom Pappert

Tom Pappert, lead reporter at The Tennessee Star, said Steve Bannon, former White House chief strategist and host of the popular show War Room, is offering a more “sober take” on the November 5 general election after serving a four-month prison term as one of the Biden-Harris administration’s “political enemies.”

Bannon was released from the Federal Correctional Institution (FCI) in Danbury, Connecticut, on Tuesday morning after serving a four-month prison sentence for a 2022 conviction on contempt of Congress charges for ignoring a subpoena from the January 6 Select Committee.

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Analysis: Republicans Surpass Democrats in Early Voting in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina

Elections Day

Republicans appear to have flipped the script on the 2020 election, which featured Democrats winning the election narrowly in Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin by banking early votes that former President Donald Trump was unable to overcome with Election Day turnout, this time outpacing Democrats with early and mail-in votes combined in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina, NBC News reports.

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Pollster John McLaughlin Breaks Down Trump’s Stance in the Race with Eight Days to go Until Election Day

Donald Trump

Long-time pollster John McLaughlin said former President Donald Trump has presented a solid closing argument to the American people in the final days leading up to the November 5 general election, which is offering voters a stark comparison between his policies and those implemented by the current Biden-Harris administration.

Noting how the former president maintains a slight lead in the race over Vice President Kamala Harris, McLaughlin explained on Monday’s edition of The Michael Patrick Leahy Show how Trump’s current position in the race is comparable to Mitt Romney’s campaign in 2012 at the same point in time.

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Supreme Court Takes Rapid Action in Appeal to Remove Noncitizens from Virginia Voter Rolls

Supreme Court

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday docketed the appeal filed Sunday by Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares after a federal appeals court declined to overrule a lower court’s decision to force Virginia to add approximately 1,600 noncitizens back to its voter rolls.

According to the Supreme Court’s online portal, the case was docketed on Monday after Virginia submitted its appeal for the high court to reverse a lower court’s decision on Sunday.

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