A new poll released by the Trafalgar Group shows Ohio Republican U.S. Senate nominee JD Vance with a 4.6 percent lead over Democrat nominee Tim Ryan.
The poll was conducted from August 16 through August 19 and contained the responses of 1,087 likely general election voters with a margin of error of 2.9 percent and a confidence rating of 95 percent.
A reported 5.6 percent of respondents were undecided.
The Trafalgar Group conducts its polling using a mix of live callers, an integrated voice response, text messages, emails, and “two other proprietary digital methods we don’t share publicly.”
Additionally the group says that they use methods in conducting polling that fits the need to “accommodate modern busy lifestyles.”
“Our polls last one to three minutes and are designed to quickly get opinions from those who would not typically participate in political polls,” the group says.
“Our approach to polling is markedly different from most of the industry. We believe the old system of delivering 20 or more questions via live phone interviews doesn’t fit the modern world. This old system skews toward people who have strong ideology and/or opinions and even worse, those who are bored and looking for someone to talk to. It also fails to address the growing number of people who refuse to share their honest opinion and the new trend of people who refuse to participate or intentionally give false answers because they question who is asking and why,” Trafalgar adds.
This is at least the second poll publicly released and conducted after the August 8 FBI raid on former President Trump’s Florida home that shows Vance with a lead over his Democrat opponent.
Previously reported, in poll results released by Emerson College Polling, Ohio Republican U.S. Senate nominee JD Vance leads Democrat nominee Tim Ryan 45 percent to 42 percent.
That survey of Ohio voters was conducted between August 15 and 16. The poll resulted noted that in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, 53 percent of likely Ohio midterm voters would plan to vote for Trump and 39 percent would vote for Biden.
Thirty-nine percent of respondents in the Emerson poll additionally said that the recent FBI raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home makes them more likely to support him for president in 2024, while 35 percent said it makes them less likely to support the former president.
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Aaron Gulbransen is a reporter at The Ohio Star and The Star News Network. Email tips to [email protected]. Follow Aaron on GETTR, Twitter, Truth Social, and Parler.
