Pennsylvania Poll Finds Sen. Bob Casey Tied with Republican Challenger Dave McCormick as Voters Focus on Economy

Dave McCormick and Bob Casey

A poll released Wednesday found Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) tied with his Republican opponent, Dave McCormick, as a plurality of Pennsylvania voters said the state of the economy was their most important issue.

The polling, released by SRSS and CNN on Wednesday, found Casey and McCormick both with the support of 46 percent of likely voters, tying the men in a race the Democrat previously dominated for months.

An additional 4 percent said they would vote for another candidate, 3 percent planned to vote for neither candidate, and 1 percent offered no opinion. Pollsters estimated a margin of error of 4.7 percent for their Pennsylvania data.

Pollsters also offered positive results for former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania. They found him tied with Vice President Kamala Harris, with each candidate receiving 47 percent of the vote.

Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party and Libertarian Party nominee Chase Oliver both polled at 1 percent of support. In comparison, 2 percent said they planned to vote for another candidate, and 2 percent said they did not plan to vote or held no opinion on the presidential election.

Results were more mixed in other states. The data showed Trump with a 5-point lead in Arizona but trailing Harris in Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, and Wisconsin.

The data also suggests voter enthusiasm is high heading into the election. A total of 95 percent of Pennsylvania voters said they were at least somewhat motivated to vote in November’s presidential election, with 69 percent stating they were “[e]xtremely motivated” to vote. Just 5 percent said they lacked motivation.

Data could also suggest Pennsylvania has slightly more undecided swing voters than other states, as 15 percent of respondents told pollsters they “[m]ight change their mind” about who to vote for prior to Election Day.

A plurality of voters in every state polled by SRSS said the economy was the most important issue, including 40 percent of Pennsylvanians. The second most important issue highlighted by respondents to the poll was “Protecting democracy,” which 27 percent of Pennsylvanians cited as their top priority.

That could be good news for the former president, McCormick, and other Republicans, as the pollsters reported 50 percent of likely voters in Pennsylvania trust Trump to handle economic issues, compared to 42 percent who reported a higher degree of trust in Harris.

The RealClearPolling average of surveys for Pennsylvania’s presidential race shows the contest tied in a head-to-head. The aggregate website shows McCormick trailing Casey by 3 percent.

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Tom Pappert is the lead reporter for The Tennessee Star, and also reports for The Pennsylvania Daily Star and The Arizona Sun Times. Follow Tom on X/Twitter. Email tips to [email protected].
Photo “Bob Casey” by Bob Casey. Photo “Dave McCormick” by Dave McCormick. 

 

 

 

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