Two Pennsylvania Polls Show Trump Beating Biden, McCormick Trailing Casey in Statistical Tie

Donald Trump Dave McCormick

Two polls of Pennsylvania voters released on Wednesday showed former President Donald Trump defeating President Joe Biden. They also showed a statistical tie in the race between U.S. Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) and his Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

The Muhlenberg College poll released Wednesday found Trump has the support of 44 percent of Pennsylvania voters, giving him a 4-point lead over Biden at 41 percent.

When pollsters independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., however, Biden and Trump tied at 35 percent while Kennedy had the support of 18 percent of respondents.

In the Pennsylvania race for U.S. Senate, the Muhlenberg pollsters found Casey with 45 percent of support, while McCormick trailed at 41 percent.

The pollsters reported a margin of error of 6 percent, meaning the candidates for U.S. Senate remained statistically tied. The poll of 417 registered voters was conducted from April 15 to April 25.

That poll’s results mirror those of the poll of Pennsylvania voters released by the AARP, formerly the American Association of Retired Persons, conducted by Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research, which was also released Wednesday.

In a head-to-head contest, the AARP poll found Trump has the support of 49 percent of Pennsylvania voters compared to 45 percent who plan to vote for Biden.

That survey similarly found Casey had the support of 48 percent of Pennsylvania voters, with McCormick trailing at 44 percent. That poll had a margin of error between 4 percent and 4.9 percent, leaving the difference between the candidates within the margin. It included 1,398 likely voters and was conducted between April 24 and April 30.

Previously, a late April poll by New Emerson College showed Trump with only a 2-point lead over Biden. It similarly had McCormick trailing Casey by 4 percent.

Since that poll, McCormick visited the anti-Israel encampment at the University of Pennsylvania, where he called anti-Israel protests a test for university officials and elected leaders.

McCormick later told The Pennsylvania Daily Star that he would urge colleagues in the U.S. Senate to reconsider federal tax breaks and funding for schools that allowed antisemitic protests or anti-Israel encampments if elected in November.

“If these are going to be places that can’t stand up to bigotry, can’t ensure enforcement of the law and the rules, and ensure that all the students, including Jewish students, are able to have an opportunity to learn without being intimidated or subject to violence, then they shouldn’t get federal support,” the Republican said.

He confirmed, “As a senator, that’s something I’d actively be focused on.”

McCormick’s campaign last week slammed Casey for his silence over the anti-Israel encampment at Penn and similar demonstrations across the nation, highlighting the Democrat’s recent social media interaction with the Cookie Monster children’s character in contrast with his inaction on campus antisemitism.

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Tom Pappert is the lead reporter for The Tennessee Star, and also reports for The Pennsylvania Daily Star and The Arizona Sun Times. Follow Tom on X/Twitter. Email tips to [email protected].
Photo “Dave McCormick” by Dave McCormick. Background Photo “Voting Booths” by Tim Evanson. CC BY-SA 2.0.

 

 

 

 

 

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