Commentary: Setting Expectations for the House in 2022 Midterms

As the generic ballot closed over the course of the summer, the battle for the House of Representatives has moved into the forefront of political analysis. House races tend to develop late, and it is too soon to predict with specificity what the outcome is going to be. But we can probably set some reasonable bounds for expectations at this point.

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Congressman Tim Burchett Cautions Voters ‘It’s Not a Done Deal’ Despite Optimism for GOP House Takeover

Thursday morning on The Tennessee Star Report, host Leahy welcomed Congressman Tim Burchett (R-TN-02) to the newsmaker line to discuss the overspending of Congress and advocated for strong legislation if a Republican House takeover.

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Biden Department of Justice Won’t Reveal Plans to Intervene in 2022 Midterms

With less than two months to go before the November midterms, the Biden Administration is refusing to release its plan to interfere in the 2022 midterms, even though a document exists at the Department of Justice (DOJ) detailing such a plan.

As reported by Breitbart, the 15-page document allegedly lays out a strategy for a “voter access” policy that will expand some of the questionable election practices that were implemented in the 2020 election. The administration reportedly plans to coordinate this rollout with several far-left groups.

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New Poll Shows Kari Lake with Small Lead, Blake Masters Down Three Percent

A new poll released by the Trafalgar Group shows Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake with a 0.7 percent lead over Democrat Katie Hobbs and GOP U.S. Senate nominee Blake Masters facing a 3.3 percent deficit to incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator John Kelly (D-AZ).

The poll was conducted from August 24 through August 27, had 1074 respondents that were likely general election voters, had a confidence rating of 95 percent, and had a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

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Another Poll Shows JD Vance Leading in Ohio U.S. Senate Race

A new poll released by the Trafalgar Group shows Ohio Republican U.S. Senate nominee JD Vance with a 4.6 percent lead over Democrat nominee Tim Ryan.

The poll was conducted from August 16 through August 19 and contained the responses of 1087 likely general election voters with a margin of error of 2.9 percent and a confidence rating of 95 percent.

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Ohio Poll Conducted After Mar-a-Lago Raid Shows JD Vance with Three Percent Lead

In poll results released on Wednesday by Emerson College Polling, Ohio Republican U.S. Senate nominee JD Vance leads Democrat nominee Tim Ryan 45 percent to 42 percent.

The survey of Ohio voters was conducted between August 15 and 16. The FBI raided former President Trump’s Florida home on August 8.

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House Incumbents on Track for Highest Number of Primary Losses in Decades

The 2022 midterms have seen an unusually high number of incumbents lose their primaries, with several more primaries still left to go that could potentially raise the final number to a 30-year high.

Axios reports that thus far, 11 House incumbents – seven Republicans and four Democrats – have lost their primaries. The high number of primary losses is due to a number of factors, including the effects of redistricting after the 2020 census, as well as a major political realignment within both parties away from so-called moderates and in favor of more hardline, grassroots candidates.

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Senator Tim Scott Tells The Tennessee Star That the ‘Great Opportunity Party’ Has ‘A Very Bright Future’

FRANKLIN, Tennessee – U.S. Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) told The Tennessee Star on Saturday at the Williamson County Republican Party Reagan Dinner that “the GOP, the ‘Great Opportunity Party’ has a very bright future.”

The Star was able to sit down with Senator Scott and conduct a one-on-one interview, arranged through Senator Scott’s staff and Williamson GOP Chair Cheryl Brown.

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Executive Director Timothy Head Talks Faith and Freedom Coalition’s Midterm Elections Activities

NASHVILLE, Tennessee – Faith and Freedom Coalition Executive Director Timothy Head spoke with The Tennessee Star about the impact he expects the organization to have on the 2022 midterm elections on Thursday.

“We now have a national database of faith-based conservative voters that’s about 43 million people. What we’ll do in the fall in election cycles is we’ll target those voters,” he said.

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Ohio Democrat Marcy Kaptur Touted Eviction Moratorium, Tried to Evict Two Tenants

40-year Democrat incumbent U.S. Representative Marcy Kaptur (D-OH-09) promoted her involvement in legislation establishing a nationwide tenant eviction moratorium, yet attempted to evict to tenants during the COVID-19 pandemic.

One of the evictions was requested strictly for the reason of not paying rent.

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Catherine Engelbrecht and Gregg Phillips of True the Vote Endorse Eli Crane for AZ-2

Catherine Engelbrecht and Gregg Phillips of True the Vote endorsed Eli Crane in the race for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District seat, the campaign announced on Wednesday.

In an interview, Engelbrecht gave Crane a significant amount of credit for the work True the Vote has done on election integrity.

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Poll Shows Perdue Closing the Gap Against Incumbent Kemp in GOP Gubernatorial Primary, but Runoff Uncertain

Poll shows former U.S. Senator David Perdue is closing the gap against incumbent Governor Brian Kemp in the GOP gubernatorial primary, but a the possibility of a runoff election is uncertain.

InsiderAdvantage released poll results showing Kemp at 52 percent and Perdue at 38 percent with 3 percent undecided.

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National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer Congratulates Guy Ciarrocchi on PA-6 Republican Primary Win

NRCC Chairman Tom Emmer congratulated Guy Ciarrocchi on his Republican primary victory in the race for Pennsylvania’s 6th Congressional District seat.

“Congratulations to Guy Ciarrocchi on his primary victory. Guy is a common-sense conservative with a proven record of standing up to Democrat overreach,” the chairman said in a statement.

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Guy Ciarrocchi Likely to Be Declared Winner of PA-6 Republican Primary

Guy Ciarrocchi is likely to be declared the winner and Republican nominee in the primary for Pennsylvania’s 6th Congressional District seat.

As of press time, Ciarrocchi holds a 2,224 vote lead over the second place candidate Steve Fanelli with under 2,000 votes remaining uncounted, according to The New York Times.

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Winstead Announces New Additions to TN-5 Campaign Team

Retired General Kurt Winstead announced Tuesday the latest additions to his campaign team in the race for the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District.

The campaign has added Fred Davis advertising consultant, Tony Fabrizio and David Lee as pollsters, and The Stoneridge Group as the direct mail and digital voter contact firm.

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Former President Donald Trump: Vote for Kemp Is Vote for Stacey Abrams

ATLANTA, Georgia – During a Monday tele-town hall held with former U.S. Senator and candidate for governor David Perdue, former President Donald Trump blasted Gov. Brian Kemp and said that a vote for Brian Kemp is a vote for Stacey Abrams.

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Commentary: Trump’s Truth Social Platform Could Help Propel GOP to Majorities in the 2022 Midterms and Beyond

No risk, no reward.

That’s the lesson official Washington, D.C. should now be learning from former President Donald Trump’s foray into running a social media company, TruthSocial.com, which is currently running a successful public beta that Apple customers can download in the App Store.

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U.S. Senator John Cornyn Endorses Herschel Walker in Georgia Senate Race

Texas Senator John Cornyn endorsed Herschel Walker in the race for U.S. Senate in Georgia this week, adding his name to a long list of prominent Republicans who have endorsed the leading Georiga GOP candidate.

Polling with over a 50 percent lead in all recent polls testing the GOP primary field, Walker is the favorite to face U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) in the November general election.

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Citizens United Doc ‘Rigged’ Knocks Zuckerberg’s Election-Skewing Nonprofits Out of 2022 Midterms

Neil W. McCabe, the national political editor of The Star News Network, interviewed David Bossie, the president and founder of Citizens United, about his new documentary ‘Rigged.’

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Citizens United Doc ‘Rigged’ Knocks Zuckerberg’s Election-Skewing Nonprofits Out of 2022 Midterms

Neil W. McCabe, the national political editor of The Star News Network, interviewed David Bossie, the president and founder of Citizens United, about his new documentary ‘Rigged.’

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Disqualified TN-5 Candidate Starbuck Asks Supporters to Tell the TNGOP to Do What Is No Longer Under Its Authority

Disqualified TN-5 candidate Robby Starbuck is posting frequent calls on social media urging supporters to contact the Tennessee GOP (TNGOP) and demand that the State Executive Committee (SEC) vote to reverse its decision disqualifying him from seeking the Republican nomination.

There’s just one problem: The Tennessee Republican Party is not empowered to put Starbuck back on the ballot and couldn’t reverse its decision even if it wanted to.

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David Perdue Lambastes Brian Kemp in First Georgia Gubernatorial Debate

In the first gubernatorial debate faceoff hold on Sunday, April 24, former U.S. Senator David Perdue hammered his GOP primary opponent, incumbent Georgia Governor Brian Kemp.

During an exchange, Perdue blamed Kemp for failing to secure Georgia’s elections, leading to his 2021 Senate runoff loss. “The only reason I’m not in the United States Senate is because you caved in and gave the election to liberal Democrats in 2020.”

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National Right to Life Backs Herschel Walker for U.S. Senate, Issues Rare Primary Endorsement

National Right to Life, a leading national Pro-Life organization, has endorsed Herschel Walker in the Georgia U.S. Senate race.

This is an uncommon step for the organization, as they don’t typical endorse candidates before the nomination has occurred.

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TN-7 Democrat Candidate Odessa Kelly: When Elected to Congress, Legalizing Marijuana Will Be One of My Top Priorities

Democrat candidate for the 7th Congressional District of Tennessee Odessa Kelly tweeted early Tuesday morning: “When elected to Congress, legalizing marijuana will be one of my top priorities fa sho!”

Kelly’s tweet was a reply to a tweet by Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.

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List of Georgia Candidates Participating in Loudermilk-Young Debate Series Revealed

The Georgia Star News has obtained a list of candidates who are scheduled to participate in the Loudermilk-Young Debate Series which features candidates in various statewide and U.S. House races.

There will be separate Republican and Democrat debates for each primary.

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Georgia Candidates for Statewide and Other Offices Set to Debate in the Coming Weeks

There are several Georgia primary candidate debates scheduled to occur in the upcoming weeks.

Many view the contest for the GOP nomination in the governor’s race as the main event. Incumbent Governor Brian Kemp and former U.S. Senator and Trump-endorsed candidate David Perdue are scheduled to face off on Atlanta, Georgia’s WSB-TV on April 24, Savannah, Georgia’s WTOC on April 28, and at the Atlanta Press Club and Georgia Public Broadcasting on May 1.

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TN-5 Candidate Baxter Lee Raises $317,380, Loans Campaign Matching Amount

FEC records show that Baxter Lee, a candidate for the GOP nomination in the race for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District race has raised $317,380 for the 2022 first quarter reporting period.

Lee also matched his contributions with a personal loan to the campaign, making the total receipts for the first quarter $634,760.

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U.S. Senate Candidate Herschel Walker Raises Nearly $5.2 Million in First Three Months of 2022

FEC reporting shows that Trump-endorsed candidate for the U.S. Senate in Georgia, former NFL star athlete Herschel Walker has raised over $5 million for the 2022 Federal Election Commission first quarter reporting period.

The FEC first quarter reporting period covers the January 1, 2022 through March 31, 2022 time period.

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78 Percent of Campaign Contributions to Carpetbagger TN-5 Candidate Morgan Ortagus Are Out-of-State

The 2022 FEC first quarter report filed by announced TN-5 Congressional candidate Morgan Ortagus on April 15 shows that 78 percent of her campaign donations come from out-of-state sources.

Of the $591,418 in receipts reported by the Ortagus campaign in the FEC first quarter reporting period covers the time period of January 1 through March 31, only $126,477, or 22 percent, came from itemized individual contributions made by Tennessee residents. The average contribution made by the 84 Tennessee residents who donated to the Ortagus campaign was $1,505.

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Silicon Valley Billionaire Larry Ellison Donated the $1 Million That Funds SuperPAC Backing TN-5 Carpetbagger Candidate Morgan Ortagus

Silicon Valley billionaire Larry Ellison, the executive chairman and chief technology officer of Oracle, donated $1 million on March 21 to the recently-formed SuperPAC supporting TN-5 carpetbagger candidate Morgan Ortagus, according to Federal Election Commission records obtained by The Tennessee Star on Friday.

That SuperPAC, the Tennessee Conservatives PAC, has already begun running a $100,000 radio ad buy in the district in support of Ortagus.

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Herschel Walker Reacts to Propaganda Article by Left-Wing Publication ‘The Nation’: ‘The Left and the Media Are Making Everything about Race’

Georgia Senate candidate and frontrunner for the GOP nomination Herschel Walker reacted to an article published by left wing publication The Nation that trashes Walker’s status as a black man and Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate.

In a tweet, Walker said, “As usual, the left and the media are making everything about race. I’m going to win this seat because Georgians know I’m the most qualified for the job.”

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Tennessee Secretary of State’s Office Provides Partial Clarification on Applicability of Law to Carpetbaggers Morgan Ortagus and Robby Starbuck, but Leaves Out Key State Code

The Tennessee Secretary of State’s office provided partial clarification on the applicability of the newly enacted three-year residency law to carpetbaggers Morgan Ortagus and Robby Starbuck, but left out a reference to a key part of state code.

The Tennessee Star previously reported that mere hours after the enactment of the new three-year residency law for federal candidates in primaries, Tennessee Secretary of State Tre Hargett’s office offered conflicting comments about whether he intends to enforce the new law and remove “carpetbagger” candidates from the August 4 Republican primary ballot.

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TN Secretary of State Offers Conflicting Comments on Whether He Will Enforce Residency Law and Remove Carpetbaggers from the TN-5 Ballot

Within hours of the enactment of a new law on Wednesday that requires candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives in Tennessee to be residents of the state for three years prior to their placement on a primary ballot, Tennessee Secretary of State Tre Hargett’s office offered conflicting comments about whether he intends to enforce the new law and remove “carpetbagger” candidates from the August 4 Republican primary ballot.

Reaction from Tennessee state legislators to the comments from the Secretary of State’s office  were swift and pointed.

Sources tell The Tennessee Star that if the Tennessee Secretary of State refuses to enforce the newly enacted law and remove any candidate from the ballot for the U.S. House who fails to meet the three-year residency requirement he will be sued to require him to enforce the law.

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Bill Requiring Three Year Residency in Tennessee for Candidates in Federal Primaries Has Become State Law Without Governor Lee’s Signature

The three-year residency requirement legislation for Tennessee candidates for federal office in primaries is now law – effective immediately – without Governor Lee’s signature.

The Tennessee General Assembly sent the legislation, which it overwhelmingly approved, over to Governor Lee’s office on April 1. Governor Lee had the option to sign the legislation into law, veto it, or allow ten days to pass where it would be enacted into law without his signature. Lee chose the third option.

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Exclusive: TN-5 Candidate Beth Harwell Endorses U.S. Term Limits Amendment, Pledges to Serve Maximum of Three Terms

Former Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives Beth Harwell, a candidate for the TN-5 GOP nomination, announced on The Tennessee Star Report with Michael Patrick Leahy that if elected, she will limit herself to three terms of service totaling six years in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Harwell has additionally signed the U.S. Term Limit’s pledge which states “that as a member of Congress I will cosponsor and vote for the U.S. Term Limits Amendment of three (3) House terms and two (2) Senate terms and no longer limit.”

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State Senator Heidi Campbell Is Effectively the Democrat Nominee for TN-5

State Senator Heidi Campbell (D-Nashville) is effectively the Democrat nominee in the race for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District seat.

Two candidates submitted qualifying petitions signatures to the Tennessee Secretary of State’s office, Campbell and Justicia Rizzo. The Secretary of State’s office lists on Campbell’s petitions signatures as approved.

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State Senate Aide Tres Wittum Officially Announces Entry into TN-5 U.S. House Race

Longtime Tennessee state Senate aide Tres Wittum officially announced his entry into the GOP primary for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District seat.

In a video released by the campaign, Wittum said, “I’m Tres Wittum. I’m running for the 5th Congressional District. I’m in.”

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Tennessee Secretary of State’s Office Approves the Qualifying Petitions of 14 Candidates in Race for TN-5 Seat

As of April 7, the date of the qualifying petitions filing deadline, the Tennessee Secretary of State’s office has approved the submissions of fourteen candidates in the race for Tennessee’s Fifth Congressional District seat.

Eleven Republicans, one Democrat, and two Independents are listed as by the Tennessee Secretary of State’s office as having their petitions signatures approved.

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Dark Money Carpetbagger PAC Spends $100,000 on Radio Supporting Morgan Ortagus in TN-5

A new dark money super PAC spent $100,000 in radio ads on Wednesday in support of carpetbagger Morgan Ortagus in the race for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional district seat, according to Federal Election Commission records released on Friday.

The PAC’s name is Tennessee Conservatives PAC and the expenditure was made on April 6. Saturation-level radio ads – at least 20 spots per day – began running on Talk Radio 98.3 and 1510 WLAC in Nashville and 99.7 WTN in Nashville beginning on Wednesday.

The PAC, which was organized on February 22, 2022 according to FEC records, has yet to release its funding sources. The group’s report for the period ending March 31 will not be made filed with the FEC until April 15. It is common practice for dark money PACs to hide their sources of funding until the latest possible date.

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Exclusive: TN-5 Republican Candidate Beth Harwell Raises Nearly $350,000 in Five Weeks

In an exclusive statement provided to The Tennessee Star, Beth Harwell, former Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives and candidate in the Republican primary for Tennessee’s Fifth Congressional district seat, announced that she has raised nearly $350,000 in the five weeks since entering the race.

“I am proud to have the support of so many Tennesseans as we campaign to bring some common sense to Washington.” she said. “We need someone in Congress who knows the needs of Tennessee and will fight to bring back American greatness. I intend to do just that.”

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Republicans Are Lining Up in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District to Challenge Vulnerable Democrat Incumbent

As Democrat incumbent U.S. Representative Tom O’Halleran continues to look vulnerable, Republicans are lining up to challenge him in the GOP primary for Arizona’s Second Congressional district.

The Arizona Sun Times previously reported that O’Halleran is considered one of the most vulnerable Democrat incumbents in the country and at least five candidates have declared against him.

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OH-9 Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur Facing Uphill Battle for Re-election

OH-9 incumbent Democrat U.S. Representative Marcy Kaptur is facing an uphill battle in her campaign for reelection.

Prior to redistricting, Ohio’s Ninth Congressional district was considered a safe seat for the current Democrat occupant. Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight gave OH-9 a partisan rating of D+16. It now gives the district a R+6 rating.

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Louisiana’s Republican Legislature Overrides Democrat Gov. John Bel Edwards Veto of Redistricting Plan

John Bel Edwards

Louisiana’s Republican-controlled legislature voted to override Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards’s veto of the congressional redistricting plan they passed in mid-February.

The new congressional maps will maintain the partisan makeup status quo of the the state’s delegation to the United States House of Representatives.

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Republicans Take Aim at Colorado’s 7th Congressional District Seat

Republicans are targeting Colorado’s Seventh Congressional district seat for GOP takeover.

The National Republican Congressional Committee announced that they are targeting CO-7. The NRCC’s job is to win as many seats as possible in November in the effort to attain a Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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IL-11 Republican Challenger Jerry Evans Responds to National Republican Congressional Committee Adding District to Target List

Illinois Eleventh Congressional district challenger Jerry Evans responded to the news that the National Republican Congressional Committee has added the district to the Democrat incumbent target list.

In a statement issued to The Star News Network, Evans said “The NRCC adding Illinois’ 11th Congressional District to their list confirms what we have seen all along. Illinoisans have had enough of Joe Biden’s dismal economy, catastrophic foreign policy, and undeniable incompetence.” he said. “They no longer wish to be represented by Biden yes-men like Bill Foster. They want a Representative who will go to Washington and fight for them, not kowtow to Nancy Pelosi and the far-left fringes of the Democratic Party. With a strong fundraising record, significant national press, and an elite team, my campaign is well positioned to finally retire Bill Foster.” 

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