As early voting for the August 2nd Arizona Primary Election is underway, OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) held a poll showing that many Arizona Republican Party (GOP) Voters remain unsure who they want to vote for in several races.
“The Governor and Senate primary is taking up much of the oxygen (and airtime) away from these down-ticket races,” said Mike Noble, OHPI chief of research. “With voters predominantly undecided in these races, their respective campaign efforts will be critical as they chase ballots, get out the vote, and spend their hard-earned campaign dollars leading up to Election Day.”
The survey was conducted as a live caller/peer-to-peer text blended survey with 515 likely voters in Arizona. The demographics were weighted to accurately reflect the projected Arizona likely GOP primary voter based on data from the Arizona Secretary of State’s office.
In the survey, 72 percent of respondents were unsure of who to vote for to be the next Secretary of State. Of the small percentage who did, 14 percent were in favor of State Representative Mark Finchem (R-Oro Valley). State Senator Michelle Ugenti-Rita (R-Scottsdale) came in second with 6 percent.
Moreover, the race for attorney general is in a standoff, with no candidate breaking double digits in backings. Trump-endorsed Abe Hamadeh leads with seven percent support, only one percent ahead of Rodney Glassman and Andrew Gould with six percent each. Sixty-seven percent of likely voters are still unsure about this race.
Similarly, 66 percent of voters are unsure about the superintendent of public instruction. Former Attorney General Tom Horne holds a strong lead of 18 percent compared to the runner-up, State Representative Michelle Udall (R-Falcon Field), with nine percent.
The final race in this poll was for state treasurer, where Kimberly Yee holds a commanding lead of 19 percent compared to Bob Lettieri and State Representative Jeff Weninger (R-Chandler), who are both tied with five percent. Seventy-one percent of participants remain unsure.
Furthermore, The Arizona Sun Times reported that even higher profile races, such as the Senate race, still see a large number of indecisive voters.
According to a survey conducted by HighGround, of the 400 likely Arizona voter participants, 23.3 percent support Blake Masters. Opponent runners Jim Lamon and Attorney General Mark Brnovich (R) trail Masters in a head-to-head match-up where Lamon leads Brnovich by less than one percent. However, 40 percent of participants remain unsure in this race, which HighGround President and CEO Chuck Coughlin attributes to “a crowded field” in the race that may be causing Republican voters to take extra time to study candidates before making up their minds.
One election where it seems voters are more confident is the race for governor. OHPI held a separate survey in July, right after Former Arizona Representative Matt Salmon exited the election, and the results from 515 likely voters show a competitive race. With Salmon gone, only 21 percent of voters remained unsure. Trump-endorsed Kari Lake held the lead with 40 percent supporting her, but opponent Karrin Taylor Robson was close behind with 35 percent in favor.
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Neil Jones is a reporter for The Arizona Sun Times and The Star News Network. Follow Neil on Twitter. Email tips to [email protected].
Photo “Election Day 2020” by Phil Roeder. CC BY 2.0.
