by Benjamin Yount
The slivers of information that Reince Priebus is seeing in Wisconsin has him expecting Republicans to win up and down the ballot.
Priebus, who used to lead both the Wisconsin Republican Party and the RNC, told Jay Weber on News Talk 1130 WISN Monday that data collected by both organizations show independent and undecided voters breaking for Republicans.
“They are leaning overwhelmingly to [GOP governor candidate] Tim Michels and [U.S. Sen.] Ron Johnson,” Priebus said. “When given the choice between [Democratic Gov.] Tony Evers and [U.S. Senate candidate] Mandela Barnes on the issues of education and crime – and in the case of Ron Johnson, inflation, gas, groceries – all of these things that are at the forefront of voters’ minds, by a longshot the Republicans are doing much better.”
Priebus says he doesn’t have an early or absentee vote count in the state, but said Republicans appear to be doing better than in 2020 when there was a flood of Democrats who voted early.
Priebus said Republicans, by and large, do most of their voting on Election Day.
Polls show both the race for U.S. Senate and governor in Wisconsin are essentially tied, though the last Marquette Law School Poll did give Ron Johnson a slight, two-point lead.
Priebus said if the polls show Michels and Johnson that close, it could be a comfortable victory for Republicans in Wisconsin.
“Look at Real Clear Politics, look at Walker-Evers in 2018. [Gov. Walker] out-performed that average,” Priebus said. “He was minus-two-and-a-half, minus-three, minus-four. Leading up to the election there were polls that had him minus-five, minus-six, minus-seven. Republicans don’t underperform in public polls.”
Gov. Walker lost that 2018 race by about 40,000 votes, which is a 1% spread.
Priebus said he will be watching voter data from East Coast states to see if Republicans are going to have a good night Tuesday. But he said Wisconsin voters should watch three specific counties.
“I’d look at Brown County. I’d look to see how that’s breaking,” Priebus explained. “Then I’d combine Racine and Kenosha. If you look at those two counties in combination … if they are going for Ron Johnson and Tim Michels, forget about it. It’s done.”
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Benjamin Yount is a regular contributor to The Center Square.
Photo “Reince Priebus” by Michael Vadon. CC BY-SA 4.0. Background Photo “Wisconsin Capitol” by Vijay Kumar Koulampet. CC BY-SA 3.0.
